Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-1
Gabala FK vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
FKQ
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
MTK
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
MTK
1 - 2
FKQ
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
FKQ
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
FKQ
5 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
FKQ
57%
26%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
WAA
0 - 1
LIL
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
OOS
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
RED
59%
26%
16%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
DUN
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |