Gabala FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
10º
10º
56
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKQ
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKQ
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 3
SEB
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 4
QAR
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
FKQ
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 3
FKN
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 4
QAR
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
FKN
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |