Gabala FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FKQ
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 3
SFK
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 2
FKQ
10%
21%
69%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
FKQ
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 3
FKQ
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
SUM
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 0
FKN
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKN
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MIE
2 - 1
FKN
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |