Gabala FK vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
16%
5.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
31
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
25%
58%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
FKQ
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |