Q. Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round Final
Global 2-1
Gabala FK vs FK Cukaricki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ČUK
1 - 0
FKQ
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
FKQ
2 - 0
DTB
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DTB
2 - 1
FKQ
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
FKQ
3 - 0
FKB
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SHA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VOJ
0 - 4
ČUK
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ČUK
1 - 0
FKQ
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ČUK
0 - 0
DOM
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 1
ČUK
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ČUK
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |