Azerbaijan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Gabala FK vs AZAL PFC Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
M05
2 - 0
FKQ
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 2
ZAQ
64%
19%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
QAR
2 - 1
FKQ
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
FKQ
1 - 3
AND
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FKQ
1 - 0
ZIR
46%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
AZA
4 - 0
REV
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 1
SUM
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 0
AZA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 0
FKQ
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 1
QAR
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |