Přepeře vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Přepeře
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
5 - 1
DOB
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MBI
0 - 0
FKP
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKP
3 - 1
JBN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BMS
1 - 2
FKP
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKP
1 - 2
SOK
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZBR
1 - 6
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
OPA
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VIZ
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |