Pobeda Khasavyurt vs Nart Cherkessk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
13º
4º
26
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pobeda Khasavyurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
FKK
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DDA
1 - 3
FKP
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 2
DIN
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 2
FKP
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FKP
3 - 2
RUB
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
NCH
3 - 0
DDA
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 0
NCH
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 2
ROS
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RUB
0 - 1
NCH
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 1
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |