Pobeda Khasavyurt vs FC Sochi-2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+987%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
13º
4º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pobeda Khasavyurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
FKP
0 - 1
DMA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKP
0 - 1
NCH
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
FKK
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DDA
1 - 3
FKP
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 2
DIN
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sochi-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SOC
0 - 1
DIN
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 0
SOC
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SOC
0 - 1
RUB
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
SOC
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SOC
4 - 0
ANG
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |