FK Pobeda vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
POB
2 - 2
EGN
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
FCS
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 0
RAB
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 0
RAB
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
TIK
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 1
KGE
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TIK
4 - 1
VOK
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
MAK
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |