FK Pobeda vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
55.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
MAK
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 0
POB
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
MAK
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 1
AKP
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
3 - 1
FKS
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
SHK
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
SHK
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
4 - 2
TIK
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |