FK Pobeda vs Sasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
14º
14º
29
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 2
POB
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
POB
0 - 0
BEL
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
OSO
0 - 0
POB
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OHR
1 - 0
POB
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POB
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TET
1 - 3
SAS
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SAS
0 - 3
BES
10%
21%
69%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEL
2 - 0
SAS
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 3
ARE
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |