FK Pobeda vs Renova analysis

FK Pobeda Renova
49 ELO 64
-1% Tilt 4.1%
8453º General ELO ranking 23626º
32º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
15.1%
FK Pobeda
23.2%
Draw
61.7%
Renova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
FK Pobeda
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.7%
Win probability
Renova
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

FK Pobeda
Their league position
Renova
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
12º
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Struga
66
69
100%
Shkupi
59
63
94.5%
KF Shkëndija
54
58
94%
Sileks
47
51
98.5%
Makedonija GP
39
42
25%
Bregalnica Štip
38
42
27.5%
Tikvesh
37
41
36.5%
Rabotnički
37
41
38.5%
Renova
12º
0
32
33%
AP Brera
27
31
10º
51.5%
FK Skopje
10º
22
25
11º
83.5%
FK Pobeda
11º
13
14
12º
97%
Expected probabilities
FK Pobeda
Renova
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 2.5%
Mid-table
0% 49%
Relegation play-offs
0% 32%
Relegation
100% 16.5%

ELO progression

FK Pobeda
Renova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Pobeda
FK Pobeda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
MAK
Makedonija GP
4 - 1
FK Pobeda
POB
71%
19%
10%
50 66 16 0
14 Aug. 2022
POB
FK Pobeda
0 - 1
Tikvesh
TIK
28%
26%
46%
50 60 10 0
06 Aug. 2022
FCS
Struga
3 - 0
FK Pobeda
POB
66%
22%
12%
51 69 18 -1
30 Jul. 2022
AKP
AP Brera
4 - 3
FK Pobeda
POB
77%
15%
8%
51 66 15 0
27 Jul. 2022
POB
FK Pobeda
2 - 2
KF Egnatia
EGN
27%
25%
48%
51 59 8 0

Matches

Renova
Renova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2022
FKB
FK Borec
1 - 5
Renova
REN
18%
25%
57%
63 52 11 0
08 May. 2022
REN
Renova
2 - 0
FK Skopje
FKS
58%
25%
18%
63 56 7 0
04 May. 2022
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 1
Renova
REN
38%
26%
36%
62 59 3 +1
01 May. 2022
REN
Renova
1 - 1
Struga
FCS
33%
29%
38%
62 69 7 0
23 Apr. 2022
SHK
Shkupi
2 - 0
Renova
REN
54%
25%
21%
62 69 7 0