FK Pobeda vs Aresimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
12º
65
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
POB
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAK
3 - 0
POB
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POB
5 - 0
FKB
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
POB
1 - 1
MAK
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aresimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KGE
1 - 2
ARE
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OHR
2 - 4
ARE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
4 - 2
BEL
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |