FK Pobeda vs Detonit Plachkovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
14º
14º
60
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
POB
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POB
1 - 1
NOV
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
JTS
0 - 0
POB
7%
11%
81%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
POB
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POB
1 - 0
OSO
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Detonit Plachkovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
7 - 0
BAS
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TET
4 - 0
DEP
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OHR
2 - 0
DEP
21%
20%
59%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 0
BES
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |