FK Pobeda vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
12º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 3
POB
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 3
SHK
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 0
POB
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
0 - 6
POB
8%
13%
79%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POB
1 - 0
BRE
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
9 - 0
LJU
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TET
0 - 6
AKP
11%
19%
70%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |