Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
JAG
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FKD
2 - 1
PAR
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
7 - 0
BSK
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
AEL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
TRO
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
BOG
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
4 - 0
STR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MED
0 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |