Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
PAR
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
NPA
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUD
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ECH
1 - 3
THU
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
HÄC
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
FCA
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
HÄC
1 - 2
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |