UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 5-3
Partizan Belgrade vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NPA
3 - 2
PAR
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
STB
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
6 - 0
JAG
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
STB
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
STB
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STB
1 - 1
CLU
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
STB
2 - 3
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 3
STB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |