Partizan Belgrade vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
MET
89%
8%
2%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
JAV
0 - 2
PAR
17%
25%
58%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
FKS
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VOJ
1 - 2
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 1
SME
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
JAG
40%
30%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BEO
1 - 0
SME
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
SLO
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NPA
1 - 0
SME
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |