UCL Qualifying Final
Global 2-0
Partizan Belgrade vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
ČUK
2 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PAR
7 - 0
HAJ
83%
12%
6%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ZET
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 1
ZEM
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
VOJ
1 - 3
PAR
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
SHF
2 - 0
SLI
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2005 |
SLI
1 - 4
SHF
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
SHF
1 - 3
ZIM
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
FCR
0 - 2
SHF
11%
22%
67%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SHF
4 - 1
NIS
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |