Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 2-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
2 - 1
PAR
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
1 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 0
NPA
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GNK
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 3
SHR
13%
25%
61%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
1 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
6 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
SHR
44%
29%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
0 - 2
FCK
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |