Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 5-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZEM
0 - 1
PAR
11%
23%
66%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAR
47%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
MLA
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
DVR
0 - 1
PAR
10%
21%
69%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
AAB
1 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAR
47%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BIF
2 - 0
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
AIK
0 - 1
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
3 - 0
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |