Partizan Belgrade vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
35
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
RAD
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TSC
1 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MNS
0 - 3
PAR
17%
22%
61%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 1
ČUK
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 4
PAR
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JED
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
NAP
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
TSC
18%
25%
58%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ČUK
0 - 0
NAP
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |