Partizan Belgrade vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
8º
4º
31
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
ČUK
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VOZ
0 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
VOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
INI
0 - 2
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
KOL
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
FKA
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |