UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 2-2
Partizan Belgrade vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
0 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
HBT
1 - 3
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
HBT
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCR
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LUD
3 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
0 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 0
LUD
37%
29%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
F91
1 - 1
LUD
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FKH
1 - 0
LUD
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |