Partizan Belgrade vs Jagodina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BEO
1 - 2
PAR
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
SLO
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 1
PAR
11%
22%
67%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MET
0 - 3
PAR
11%
22%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
79%
12%
8%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 2
JAG
39%
30%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 0
BEO
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 2
JAG
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NPA
0 - 0
JAG
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 2
MET
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |