UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 5-1
Partizan Belgrade vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
HIF
1 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
SUT
1 - 7
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 1
OBI
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
ZVE
0 - 4
PAR
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 3
BEO
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
HIF
36%
25%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
HIF
1 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
HIF
3 - 1
GIF
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2002 |
ORE
2 - 1
HIF
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2002 |
AIK
2 - 0
HIF
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |