UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SHK
0 - 1
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
SHK
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 2
PAR
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
PAR
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
3 - 1
BEE
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 0
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
GNK
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 1
SDL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |