UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
Partizan Belgrade vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 1
VAS
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 3
PAR
16%
25%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
ČUK
1 - 0
PAR
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
GOR
3 - 0
WIT
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
GOR
22%
28%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GOR
1 - 0
KOL
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GOR
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |