Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Partizan Belgrade vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
MID
3 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 1
ČUK
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HAJ
0 - 3
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
OBO
0 - 1
DNI
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 1
DNI
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
DNI
1 - 0
ARS
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
DNI
1 - 0
AUS
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DNI
2 - 2
NAF
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |