UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 3-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
JAV
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
ZET
1 - 4
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
OBI
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BEO
0 - 2
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 0
VOJ
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
DJU
3 - 0
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
ORG
0 - 3
DJU
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
DJU
0 - 3
ORG
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2003 |
DJU
3 - 0
HIF
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
DJU
0 - 2
MFF
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |