Partizan Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
86
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
VOJ
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
1 - 2
SLB
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
NAP
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
CRV
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
CRV
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |