Partizan Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ZET
1 - 2
PAR
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
HAJ
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
NAP
0 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
SME
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VOJ
0 - 0
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRV
2 - 0
OBI
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BOR
1 - 1
CRV
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
CRV
0 - 0
ZEL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BBD
0 - 2
CRV
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CRV
2 - 1
ZEM
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |