Pardubice II vs Semily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardubice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
UST
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
TJS
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
DVR
52%
22%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Semily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DVR
1 - 0
SEM
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SEM
2 - 1
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
SEM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SEM
1 - 4
JIS
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PNI
2 - 1
SEM
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |