Pardubice II vs Sparta Kolín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
15º
34
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardubice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ACL
3 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SOK
2 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
HKI
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
PAR
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
SLI
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sparta Kolín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
SOK
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
UST
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ACL
2 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 3
MBI
58%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HKI
0 - 0
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |