FK Panevėžys vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
7º
25
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
DAI
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
PAN
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
GKA
0 - 3
PAN
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 1
HLI
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SUD
2 - 2
ZAL
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FAS
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DTE
1 - 1
ZAL
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DAI
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |