FK Panevėžys vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
10º
8º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
MTA
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
3 - 3
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
KZA
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
3 - 0
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAF
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VAA
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 2
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
ZAL
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |