FK Panevėžys vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 4
PAN
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
FAS
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
KZA
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
PAN
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
PAN
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
ZAL
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |