UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-7
FK Panevėžys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
KZA
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
HLI
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
BAN
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUS
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
KZA
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
MIE
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 1
JAG
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |