FK Panevėžys vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
HBS
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
PAN
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
HBS
1 - 0
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAN
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
TRA
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 3
HLI
24%
27%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
HLI
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 5
SHK
51%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 2
HLI
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |