FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
7º
32
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 3
PAN
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SUD
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 4
ZAL
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
DAI
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 2
FAS
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HLI
5 - 2
FAS
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
5 - 0
DTE
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 2
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
FAS
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |