FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
7º
32
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 3
FKT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 2
FAS
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 1
PAN
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 0
BFC
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 1
FSM
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 2
FAS
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 1
FKT
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 1
FAS
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 2
FAS
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |