FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
10º
8º
42
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
DTE
62%
24%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
DTE
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 0
PAN
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FKT
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 3
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 0
FAS
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |