FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAN
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
MIL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
KZA
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
TRA
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
PAN
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 2
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
FAS
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 3
HLI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |