FK Panevėžys vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
1º
1º
62
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
KZA
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 2
PAN
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 4
PAN
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
PAN
15%
24%
60%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 2
FSM
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 0
SUD
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
HLI
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FAS
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |