FK Panevėžys vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
7º
28
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 3
PAN
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SUD
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 4
ZAL
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
DTE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
BAN
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 2
DTE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
5 - 0
DTE
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DTE
2 - 1
TRA
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |