FK Panevėžys vs Banga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
7º
22
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 3
PAN
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SUD
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 4
ZAL
37%
27%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
KZA
3 - 0
PAN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
RBK
5 - 0
BAN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
BAN
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
KZA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
DAI
2 - 1
BAN
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |