Otrant Ulcinj vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
10º
7º
34
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 0
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
OUL
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
3 - 0
BER
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 0
OUL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 2
KOM
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MLJ
1 - 0
ZET
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 0
BOK
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 1
GRB
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 0
ZET
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |