Otrant Ulcinj vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 5
OUL
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
KOM
2 - 1
OUL
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OUL
2 - 0
RDB
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OUL
2 - 0
BER
39%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FKC
1 - 1
OUL
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
FKC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
FKC
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
MOR
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
IBA
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IGA
0 - 2
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |